The MAVEX Model Phase: How We Predict Project Success

Inside our modeling methodology: the spreadsheets, assumptions, and risk factors that determine whether we proceed with a deal.

The Model phase is where every MAVEX project begins. Before we bid on a property, before we talk to contractors, before we even visit the site – we build a comprehensive financial model.

This isn't a back-of-envelope calculation. It's a detailed analysis that considers every variable that could affect project success.

The Components of Our Model

Every MAVEX model includes five core components:

Model Components

  • Acquisition Analysis: Purchase price, fees, and financing costs
  • Development Costs: QS-verified renovation estimates with contingencies
  • Market Analysis: Comparable sales and rental data
  • Exit Scenarios: Multiple exit strategies with different timelines
  • Risk Assessment: Sensitivity analysis and stress testing

Real Example: 45 Uplands Road Model

Let's walk through the actual model for our 45 Uplands Road project to show how this works in practice.

Our initial modeling showed a profitable project with multiple exit strategies. The key was building in enough contingency for the unexpected.